Union extends lead over SPD

Friedrich Merz

The CDU leader wants to lead his party back into government.

(Photo: Reuters)

Berlin The Union can further expand its lead in election polls. In the Sunday trend, which the opinion research institute “Insa” collects for “Bild am Sonntag”, the CDU and CSU come to 27 percent this week, which is one percentage point more than in the previous week.

The Social Democrats remain at 22 percent, the Greens lose a point and now come to 15 percent, the FDP comes to eleven percent as in the previous week. The traffic light would thus only have a narrow parliamentary majority of 48 percent. From February 14th to 18th, 1303 people in Germany were interviewed for the survey.

The left stabilizes and comes to seven percent this week (plus one percentage point), the AfD is unchanged at twelve percent. The other parties would collect six percent of the votes (minus one percentage point).

In North Rhine-Westphalia, around three months before the state elections, according to an Insa survey, there is a tight race between the CDU and SPD. In the NRW Sunday trend, the SPD comes to 29 percent, which is two points ahead of the currently governing CDU with 27 percent. The Greens reach 14 percent in the survey.

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The FDP is twelve percent and the AfD eight percent. The left would not be represented in the state parliament with four percent. The other parties could unite six percent of the votes, as the newspaper announced.

If the prime minister were directly elected, Wüst would be ahead

The current government coalition of CDU and FDP would thus come to 39 percent and red-green to 43 percent. According to these figures, a majority in the state parliament would have a traffic light alliance of SPD, Greens and FDP, a Jamaica coalition of CDU, Greens and FDP or a government of SPD and CDU. The state election is on May 15th. A black-yellow coalition has governed North Rhine-Westphalia since 2017.

If a direct election of the prime minister were possible, 28 percent of those surveyed would vote for incumbent Hendrik Wüst (CDU) and 24 percent for his challenger Thomas Kutschaty from the SPD. 35 percent said they would vote for neither.

For the “Bild am Sonntag”, the opinion research institute Insa surveyed 1,000 people in NRW between February 15 and 17, 2022.

Election polls are generally always subject to uncertainties. Among other things, declining party ties and increasingly short-term voting decisions make it difficult for the opinion research institutes to weight the data collected. In principle, surveys only reflect the opinion at the time of the survey and are not a forecast of the outcome of the election.

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