The traffic light government has recently lost favor with voters.
(Photo: IMAGO/Frank Ossenbrink)
Dusseldorf The majority of the ruling traffic light coalition, which was regained only last week, is already gone: if there were federal elections this Sunday, the SPD, Greens and FDP would come to 46 percent according to the Sunday trend, which the opinion research institute Insa collects for “Bild am Sonntag”. – and thus one percentage point less than all other parties currently represented in parliament.
The reason: The Greens have slipped to their lowest level in more than six months: they only get 17 percent. That is one percentage point less than in the previous week and the lowest value since mid-April. The FDP also loses a point, coming to eight percent this week. The Social Democrats, on the other hand, can increase slightly: their approval rating is 21 percent, one point higher than in the previous week.
The strongest force would still be the Union parties with 27 percent (plus one percentage point) and thus by a clear margin. The AfD remains at 15 percent, the left at five percent. The other parties would unite seven percent of the votes. The opinion research institute surveyed a total of 1,286 people in the period from November 1st to 4th.
The ARD “Deutschlandtrend” had recently seen no majority for the traffic light, but had drawn a slightly different picture in the approval ratings for the Greens and SPD: According to the data published last Thursday from the representative survey by Infratest Dimap, the SPD has also increased, but is therefore on par with the Greens at 19 percent.
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For the Social Democrats, this means an increase of two percentage points compared to October, the Greens remain unchanged. The FDP, on the other hand, lost one point to six percent, so that the traffic light in this survey only came to 44 percent.
The CDU and CSU are therefore ahead with an unchanged 28 percent. The AfD (14) lost one percentage point, while the Left remained unchanged at five percent. The opposition parties thus unite 47 percent in the “Germany trend” just like in the Insa survey.
Election polls are generally subject to uncertainties. Among other things, declining party ties and increasingly short-term voting decisions make it difficult for the opinion research institutes to weight the data collected.
In principle, surveys only reflect the opinion at the time of the survey and are not a forecast of the outcome of the election. The next federal election is not scheduled until 2025.
More: Merz sees Union before a successful election year – and expresses sharp criticism of traffic lights