Why a record high is becoming more likely

Look into the crystal ball

What will the second quarter bring for the leading German index?

(Photo: dpa)

Dusseldorf The stock market is currently defying all negative factors. The German leading index Dax ended the first quarter, which ended on Friday, at 15,629 points with a gain of 12.3 percent – this is the fifth-best result in its history.

Has the Dax already risen too far? After all, the forecasts at the start of the year were bleak, and the price risks seem large with the still raging Ukraine war, excessive inflation and the regional bank crisis in the USA.

To answer this question, the Handelsblatt has examined the history of the Dax since its launch in 1988 to determine what to expect in the second quarter. The exclusive analysis provides five insights: Among other things, why investors can probably look forward to a good April, why a new record high would not be a surprise and when to expect a correction.

1. The uptrend is healthy

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