Why so many predictions were wrong

After the presidential election in Turkey

The race for the presidency between incumbent Erdogan and his challenger Kilicdaroglu was close – and the runoff will be in two weeks.

(Photo: dpa)

Ankara Because no candidate was able to secure more than 50 percent of the votes, President Erdogan and his challenger, Kemal Kilicdaroglu, have to face off again on May 28. After the official count of all votes, Erdogan got 49.51 percent, Kilicdaroglu 44.88 percent. Two other candidates achieved 5.17 and 0.44 percent respectively. Voter turnout was 88.92 percent.

In the parliamentary elections taking place at the same time, Erdogan’s electoral alliance with nationalists in all probability achieved a comfortable majority according to the preliminary count of the state electoral institutes.

In the presidential election, many polls put challenger Kilicdaroglu ahead.

It is significant in the presidential election that the ultra-nationalists of the MHP from Erdogan’s alliance did almost twice as well as forecast in the polls. A presidential candidate from the ultra-nationalists won a respectable victory with five percent of the vote.

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