Space Litter’s Probability of Killing People Calculated

Let’s say you’re walking down the road. A piece of concrete from a building, a window or a flower pot may fall on your head. After all, everywhere is full of tall buildings. Alright falling from space Have you ever considered the possibility of a satellite fragment injuring you? If you haven’t, scientists have thought of it for you. Experts say that a “fallen from space”scrapHe calculated the probability of “injuring a person. So why did they have such a thought?”

Humanity adds a new one to its work on space every day. Now the circumference of the Earth, some used, some full of unused satellites. There are also parts and other space materials from rockets sent into space. These are called space junk, and according to experts, if not careful, the next within 10 years It’s not uncommon for people to be injured by space debris.

There is a 10 percent chance that a piece of rocket will fall on your head!

Experts used rocket data over the past 30 years. mathematical were examined. Extensive research also included issues such as the satellites’ route, how much trash they would have created, and where they would fall. As a result of the studies, the probability of at least 1 person being injured or killed by space junk in the next 10 years is 10 percent understood. The possibility, which has been neglected until now, seems to lead to a search for a solution in the future. Because as space garbage continues to increase, the probability of this garbage falling to the earth also increases. will increase.

So, will space junk fall into Turkey and tear someone out of life?

Within the scope of the research, space garbage to where? will fall was also focused on. Experts have determined that Jakarta in Indonesia, Dhaka in Bangladesh or Lagos in Nigeria are at risk. In fact, there is no fully achieved result here. According to the mathematical calculation, the probability of falling space trash in the mentioned places is less than the probability of falling space trash in places like New York, Beijing or Moscow. three times more.

What can be done against space junk?

In fact, there are some studies on space junk. However, these are very expensive technologies and therefore not very ignored. When we look at the solution proposals of the experts, there are issues such as changing the satellite orbits and keeping the places they will fall away from the settlements and the governments working together. Also, like SpaceX’s, according to experts reusable rockets It can also be an effective method in combating space junk.