What influence Wagner has in Africa – and how it fails there

Wagner mercenaries in Mali

This picture published by the French military shows the Russian Wagner mercenaries in northern Mali.

(Photo: AP)

The Wagner mercenary group is not only coming under increasing pressure in the Ukraine. On the African continent, too, the group is far from being as stable as its leadership and the Kremlin like to claim.

On the one hand, this is shown by the rapid withdrawal from Mozambique, where Wagner was unable to stop the Islamist revolt in the north of the country. In Mali, too, Wagner has not yet succeeded in stabilizing the fragile security situation, despite a sometimes brutal approach to the civilian population. And in Sudan, where Wagner primarily operates economically, the mercenary squad seems to have taken a risky strategy against army chief Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and alienated him.

Wagner has for some time evolved from a shadow organization into a group with a strong presence abroad. From Ukraine to Mali and Sudan, it is now a central part of Russian military strategy.

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