New law for corona measures from mid-November

The number of cases is exploding all over Germany, but nowhere as in Saxony, Thuringia and Bavaria. The map of Germany from the Robert Koch Institute mainly shows the south-east in dark red. In Thuringia the incidence is 386.9. Saxony is almost on par with 385.7, followed by Bavaria with 256.8. In several counties in the three countries, the value is over 500, im Upper Bavarian district of Miesbach even over 700.

For the experts, the connections are clear. “That correlates clearly with the level of vaccination,” says the Leipzig epidemiologist Markus Scholz, who mainly analyzes the situation in Saxony.

When it comes to vaccination, the state is at the bottom: 56.9 percent of the population were fully vaccinated as of Thursday, compared to 66.9 percent nationwide. Thuringia was also below average with 60.9 percent, as was Bavaria with 64.8 percent.

Scholz can break the context down to the regional level. In Saxony there are neighboring districts that are structurally similar and only differ in the vaccination rate, says the expert: Low vaccination rates mean higher infection rates.

In addition to the low vaccination rate, the Erfurt Ministry of Health sees two main reasons for the high numbers: the accumulation of corona cases in kindergartens and schools and the late end of summer vacation. In addition to Saxony, Bavaria and Baden-Württemberg, Thuringia was one of the federal states with the latest holiday end.

According to the ministry, the incidences among 6 to 17-year-olds were over 600 in the last few weeks. Three effects could come together: the late return to travel, the beginning of the cold season and closer contact indoors.

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