How Much Would You Make If You Entered All IPOs in 2023?

As the public offering trend continues, record after record is coming from the stock market. In this period when the number of investors is approaching 9 million, are public offerings really profitable or just a scam?

The demand for ‘IPO’ is increasing day by day. So much so that the number of investors in our stock exchange is more than the population of some countries has become.

In fact, many new investors enter the stock market, It is viewed with concern by experts. Our stock market is full of “unconscious” new investors due to the great impact of public offerings. Since these new investors are open to manipulation, they can panic and easily lose money.

Although it may sound nice for people to be interested in the stock market, to invest in their home economy or their future, for some it is It can turn into disappointment.

The 5 public offerings with the least participation since the beginning of the year:

Share First Transaction
Date
Participant
Number

IPO
cost

Earning
rate
Net profit
(TL)

Oncosem Oncological Systems

4.01.23 36,044 1155 TL 849% 9.807 TL
Katılımevim Savings Financing 12.06.23 474,210 953.53 TL 257% 2.455 TL
Forte Information Communication Technologies 14.06.23 660,379 448.44 TL 485% 2.176 TL
Maçkolik Internet Services 26.01.23 678,726 195 TL 160% 313 TL
Tapdi Oxygen Private Health 11.01.23 743,501 398.19 TL 638% 2.542 TL

Note: If you are viewing from a mobile browser, you can swipe left for more tables.

Let’s also take a look at how much the 5 public offerings with the highest participation have brought in:

Share First Transaction
Date
Participant
Number

IPO
cost

Earning
rate
Net profit
(TL)
TAB Food 26.10.23 4,949,462 1170 TL 26.53% 314 TL
Borlease Automotive 19.10.23 4,222,601 253 TL 24% 61 TL
Reeder Technology 21.09.23 4,208,278 428 TL 117% 360 TL
Vera Concept GYO 27.10.23 3,878,278 158 TL 25.71% 41 TL
ebebek Retailing 07.09.23 3,804,835 279 TL 24% 68 TL

until June While there are 4.5 million investors For public offerings, the average Participation between 700 thousand and 1.5 million was provided. Starting from August, the number of investors first exceeded 5 million, then 5.5 million, and towards the end of September, 6 million. In addition to the frequency of public offerings, how the public offerings were distributed was also effective in this rate of increase.

While some public offerings were distributed by the “proportional distribution” method at the beginning of the year, people who we call small investors, so to speak, participated in these public offerings. it was getting harder, Even if they participate, they get very few lots. They were almost unprofitable.

For example, ASTOR Energy The investor, who was able to purchase 119 shares (1424 TL) as a result of the public offering, had a full share during the public offering. 90,000 TL He had to request the lot. In this way, he was entitled to receive 119 shares as a result of the proportional distribution plan. However 4 thousand TL someone else making demand small investors only 2 shares could take it.

That being the case small investors individual And all equal It turned to public offerings with its methods. Because in this method of distribution, almost everyone was equal. In this way less cost A maximum number of shares could be purchased by requesting .

We are also in our content when calculating statistics We handled it in a way that does not disrupt the average and with a “fair” approach:

  1. When calculating the number of lots purchased in public offering results Maximum number of lots per individual investor assumed (i.e. maximum number of shares per investor).
  2. Proportional distributions were not included in the data and are not included in all data. only equal distribution method IPOs used were calculated (only 4 IPOs were offered to the public in 11 months using the pro rata distribution method).
  3. Calculation dates of public offerings Calculated according to the first trading dates on the stock exchange.

Let us note that there are more than 50 companies waiting to “go public”. Here are some of those companies:

  • Multinet Corporate Services
  • Zorlu Renewable Energy
  • Mogan Energy Investment Holding
  • Agrotech High Technology and Investment
  • (Penti) Penca Textile
  • Gama Recycle Sustainable Technologies

Borsa Istanbul Gong

Number of companies that have gone public by month since the beginning of the year:

Fireplace March April May June July August September October
5 3 5 5 4 4 7 6 6

CMB (Capital Markets Board) In February, which is not included in the table, it did not approve any public offerings. It can be said that there was a short break in public offerings during the pandemic period, during this period, those who were waiting to go public slowly applied with the normalization period and in this period, CMB sometimes published a single weekly bulletin. 3 public offerings genius can approve at the same time It came to this situation.

Seeing that the demand for public offerings has grown so much, some companies have started to apply to find funding. While the number of companies waiting in line increases, we will see how the trend of public offerings will continue in the coming days.

A total of 22 different public offerings took place between July 20 and October 20. If you participated in all of these, your current net earnings at the end of this process would be 8,300 TL.

20 July Atakey In the 3-month period from its public offering to the present day until the latest offering TAB Gıda of all supplies The total cost is 9.780 TL it would happen.

The distribution of this cost across all supplies within 3 months is 3,300 TL on average. So for 3 months monthly IPO investment of up to 3,300 TL By doing this, your net earnings at the end of 3 months will be calculated according to current values. 8.300 TL, total The portfolio value reaches 18,080 TL.

Result: A person who participated in all public offerings realized with the “equal distribution” method since the beginning of the year earned a net profit of exactly 40,780 TL.

At the beginning of our content, we explained why we did not include those that went public with the “proportional distribution” method for fairness. Accordingly, an investor who enters into all public offerings with equal distribution and holds them until today, according to the closing prices on Friday, October 3, At a cost of 24.670 TL clearly He earned 40,780 TL.

This cost of approximately 25 thousand TL is not all at once, Considering that it was spent slowly over 11 months, the public offering was not bad at all. I guess it wouldn’t be wrong to say that it has a return.

Especially today, despite the fact that the stock market has fallen so much and there are wars and uncertainties. So much so that just 1 month ago these public offerings His net income is approximately 60 thousand lira It was around.

Although it may be a small amount for some, this is approximately 25,000 TL cost It is not spent all at once and is spent slowly. We must not forget the fact. So in today’s conditions 40% of deposit interest In this period, although the 10-month deposit return of 25,000 TL varies from bank to bank, on average 30,000 to It is worth 33,000 TL.

More importantly, at the beginning of this 10-month period, we had to add 25,000 TL to our deposit and keep it until the end of maturity (300 days). When we look at the public offering, we see that the cost of approximately 25,000 TL will be gradually reduced within 10 months. some months 3,000 TL, some months 5,000 TL vicinity piecemeal costs We can say that it spreads in the form of

note: This content “It is not investment advice.

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