Why Russia Won’t Regain Air Supremacy Over Ukraine

A Russian Air Force pilot in the cockpit of his Su-25 during a mission in Ukraine

The photo is from a video released by the Russian Defense Ministry in October this year.

(Photo: AP)

Riga Russia continues to attack Ukraine from the air, but does not control the skies over the neighboring country. On Wednesday alone, the Russian army shot down around 70 rockets and drones into Ukraine, according to Ukrainian sources. After the most violent attacks since the beginning of the war, large parts of the capital Kyiv are still without electricity and water.

But despite the intensified airstrikes, experts believe it is unlikely that Russia will be able to gain air supremacy in the war in the next six months. Military strategists cite structural problems in the Russian air force as the reason for this.

According to Lieutenant Colonel Andres Helm-Rosin, who served in the Estonian Air Force for 24 years and now teaches at the Baltic Defense College in Tartu, Ukraine’s anti-aircraft defenses are “working fairly well” right now – and Russia knows it.

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