Ukraine war: what matters now

Berlin There have hardly been any major gains in territory on the front in Ukraine in the past few weeks. But how will the situation develop in the near future and which factors could become decisive?

Four experts go into different aspects of the war and give an outlook on possible scenarios.

The Ukrainian counter-offensives are becoming smaller

The unfolding of the war depends on some decisions to be made in the near future, so unfortunately the turn of the year is a difficult time to gauge the course.

Gustav Gressel is an expert on Eastern Europe, security policy, military strategies at the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR) in Berlin.

One decision concerns a possible further Russian mobilization, which the Ukrainian Defense Minister Oleksiy Resnikov fears. However, the call-up for the Russian army’s fall deployment date has just been completed, so the training and accommodation resources are to some extent occupied.