New warning signals from the European real estate market

Construction site in Stockholm

The Swedish real estate market is coming under pressure.

(Photo: Bloomberg/Getty Images)

Frankfurt/Stockholm Anyone who asks supervisors and bankers these days about the biggest risks to financial stability will often get one answer: commercial real estate. Rising interest rates are driving up financing costs, while at the same time the outlook for developers is clouding over – especially in the US, but increasingly so in Europe. The crisis threatens not only to hit real estate groups, but also the financing banks. The fear of loan defaults is growing, also in Germany.

Thomas Friedberger, head of the asset manager Tikehau, sees the markets for commercial real estate as a kind of early warning system. The expert warns of “the first signs of stress in the financial system, including in the real estate sector.”

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