How the Ukrainian offensive could proceed – and what its success depends on

Berlin Mr. Reisner, Russia has only been able to gain small amounts of territory over the past few weeks. The British secret service assumes that Moscow’s troops will soon be acting more defensively again. Was that it with the Russian winter offensive?
I am much more cautious in my situation analysis. The Russian offensive has been underway for almost a month, but not as many expected. Russia primarily uses Wagner mercenaries in the Donbass, and while that may sound macabre, these fighters are of no greater value to the Russian army. It’s just cannon fodder thrown to the front lines. A concentrated, large attack in a targeted direction with all forces has so far failed for three reasons.

In fact?
Firstly, this would have exposed the Russian forces and put them within reach of the Ukrainian defenses at depth. Deployed Ukrainian reserves could have easily and successfully flanked there.