Dax is rising again towards 14,400 points – there are increasing signs of a slowdown in inflation

Dusseldorf The mood on the German stock market is still friendly. After positive afternoon trading, the Dax closed 0.46 percent up at 14,378 points.

In the course of trading, the Dax benefited from a friendly opening on the US stock exchanges. On the one hand, this is due to the quarterly figures from Walmart. The company beat Wall Street’s earnings and revenue estimates and raised full-year guidance.

On the other hand, there are increasing indications that the strong inflation in the USA is abating. After consumer prices, producer prices also did not rise as strongly in October. They increased by 8.0 percent compared to the same month last year. Economists polled by Reuters had expected 8.3 percent, down from 8.4 percent in September.

In the statistics, the prices are listed from the factory gate – i.e. before the products are further processed or traded. They provide early signals for the development of consumer prices. These rose by 7.7 percent in October after the inflation rate had been 8.2 percent in the previous month.

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The prices in the German wholesale market already provided a good template in the morning. They rose at the slowest pace in October since the beginning of Russia’s war against Ukraine. They increased by 17.4 percent compared to the same month last year. This is the smallest increase since February, when the war began and many raw materials and intermediate products became more expensive. In September there was still an increase of 19.9 percent.

The leading German index reached 14,437 points on Tuesday, a new high in the 2,500-point rally since the end of September. Even if the stock market barometer is considered susceptible to consolidation due to the rapid increase: the 14,709 point mark is the next target. This is where the high for the stock market month of June is.

Nevertheless, after an increase of more than 18 percent since the end of September, an imminent pause for breath or consolidation is likely to be the norm rather than the exception. Such setbacks are more likely to be considered healthy and should not change anything in the intact upward trend.

At the latest when prices are just below the 14,000 point mark, there should be greater interest in buying again, which promises to hold the Dax at least for a short time. Investors would only have to reassess the technical chart situation if they were below the 200-day line, which is currently 12,589 points.

As a reminder: the last consolidation at the beginning of November ended after just three days. After a minus of only around 400 points, the Dax confirmed its breakout level of 13,020 points in an exemplary manner and then climbed further up. However, a repeat of such a brief consolidation as at the beginning of November would come as a surprise.

Gold and the euro are gaining significantly

Gold prices continued to rise on Tuesday, hitting their highest level in three months. According to market observers, the prospect of less sharply rising interest rates has increased demand for the precious metal. In the afternoon, the price of a troy ounce (31.1 grams) on the London Stock Exchange climbed to 1786 US dollars. The price of gold has not been this high since mid-August. In the early evening, however, the precious metal fell again slightly to $1773.

Since the beginning of November, the price of gold has been going up overall. During that time, the precious metal has gained about nine percent.

The euro rose 1.1 percent on Tuesday to $1.042, its highest level since early July. “The markets are being driven by two factors at the moment. One is optimism that inflation data is peaking in the US… and on top of that, we have growing optimism that China may adopt more pro-growth policies,” said Lee Hardman, currency analyst at MUFG.

Look at the individual values

Varta: The battery manufacturer is putting the construction of a factory for lithium-ion batteries for electric cars on hold for cost reasons. “The construction of the new factory for the round cell/V4Drive will only continue after binding customer commitments,” said the company’s interim report published on Tuesday. This is part of a cost-cutting package. However, the operation of the first series production plant will continue as planned and will provide the cells to fulfill the OEM contract with a premium car manufacturer.
Investments in the new product, together with higher costs for raw materials and delayed call-offs for large orders, are squeezing profits. The bottom line is that the MDax group wrote a loss of around 20 million euros from January to September compared to 75.9 million net profits in the same period last year. The share lost around eight percent in the meantime, at the close of trading the share was still 3.2 percent in the red.

Even before the announcement, the share slipped significantly because there were delays in the presentation of the final quarterly figures. The company was unable to release the figures at 7 a.m. as planned and postponed a press conference scheduled for 11 a.m. citing technical problems.

The “Wirtschaftswoche” had already written last week: “The board of directors of the battery manufacturer Varta has recently promised a lot, but delivered little. If that doesn’t change in the short term, restructuring seems inevitable. Money is getting tight.”

Leoni: The auto parts supplier got deeper into the red in the third quarter. The loss before special effects widened to 56 million euros, after three million euros a year ago. The reasons for this are higher raw material and logistics costs that have not yet been fully passed on, as well as a persistently high volatility of calls. In addition, there is a special provision for impending losses due to expected higher costs. Leoni boss Aldo Kamper spoke of a “perfect storm” that the automotive supplier industry was confronted with. The share is down 0.9 percent, but has lost more than a third of its value since the beginning of the year.

Nordex: The wind turbine builder is forecasting a loss at the lower end of the forecast range. Investors, however, are hardly impressed. After initial losses, the stock is up more than 15 percent. The loss in value since the beginning of the year is minus 22 percent.

Vodafone: Investors sell the title after the quarterly figures and a more skeptical outlook. The shares of the British mobile operator fell by almost eight percent in London. The company is struggling with higher energy costs and weakening trade in Germany, Italy and Spain.

Hypoport: Stocks ended their recent recovery rally on Tuesday for the time being. The papers of the financial service provider fell by around 20.5 percent to 115 euros at noon. Since the beginning of November, however, the share certificates listed in the SDax have risen by around 45 percent, albeit at a low level.

In the current year, Hypoport shares have lost around three quarters of their value. In their most recent attempt to recover from the price slump at the end of September, they also failed to close the downward price gap that had opened up at the time. At that time, the company had suspended annual targets due to the difficult situation on the mortgage market.

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