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Critical German Diplomatic Cable Leak on Donald Trump Puts Berlin in a Difficult Spot – January 20, 2025

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Germany is facing diplomatic strains, particularly following the leak of an ambassador’s critical assessment of President Trump’s leadership just before his inauguration. Concerns about a potential trade war and the concentration of presidential powers under Trump have emerged, prompting mixed reactions from German leaders. While some, like Friedrich Merz, advocate for collaboration with the new U.S. administration, others express strong criticism. The situation is compounded by fears of economic repercussions as Germany navigates recessionary pressures.

Germany’s Concerns Amid Diplomatic Tensions

Prior to the recent diplomatic fallout, Germany was already apprehensive about potential threats of a trade war from the incoming American administration, especially as the nation’s economy faced recessionary pressures.

The release of a confidential cable from Germany’s ambassador in Washington stirred significant embarrassment for Berlin on January 19, just a day before the inauguration of President Donald Trump. This leaked document contained pointed criticisms of the new president, casting a shadow over Germany’s diplomatic relations.

In this alarming report, directed to her supervising minister and subsequently published by the daily Bild, Ambassador Andreas Michaelis raised serious concerns about the future of American democracy under Trump’s leadership. He warned of ‘vengeance plans’ from the president-elect and condemned his ‘maximum disruption strategy,’ which he claimed aimed to ‘redefine the constitutional order’ in the United States. The ambassador voiced unease over the expected ‘maximum concentration of powers in the president,’ potentially sidelining Congress and state governments, alongside promises made to technology giants to influence governance.

Annalena Baerbock, Germany’s foreign minister and recipient of the leaked note, confirmed its authenticity while noting its classified status. She emphasized the importance of diplomatic reports, particularly during transitions in government, stating, “Of course, embassies write reports; it’s their mission to know where we stand.”

“The American president had already outlined his intentions”, she remarked, especially regarding future decisions that may be made solely by the White House. Baerbock suggested that preparations must be made for this new reality.

The timing of this leak was particularly unfortunate, as the ambassador was scheduled to represent Germany at Trump’s inauguration. The daily Kölner Rundschau remarked that Berlin appeared to undermine itself just as power changed hands in the U.S. Former German ambassador Wolfgang Ischinger described the leak as “toxic” and detrimental to relations with the new American administration.

Criticism from German Leaders

Friedrich Merz, the leader of Germany’s conservative opposition and a frontrunner in the upcoming chancellorship elections, expressed his dismay at the release of the critical comments from the embassy. He labeled the remarks as filled with “nonsense” regarding the newly elected American president.

“The American president and his government do not need Germany to point fingers at them,”he asserted during a campaign event. Merz aims to position himself as a key partner for the new U.S. administration, contrasting himself with current Chancellor Olaf Scholz, who has adopted a more critical stance, particularly towards billionaire Elon Musk, whom he accused of endangering democracy by backing far-right European parties.

“We must work well with every American government,”stated Lars Klingbeil, co-chair of Scholz’s social-democratic party, while expressing concerns about initial signals from the new administration. He added, “We reach out to Donald Trump, but if he refuses, we must defend our interests strongly.”

As Germany grapples with the potential implications of a trade war, fears are mounting that the nation could find itself at the forefront of such conflicts, particularly as it navigates a recession.

Isabel Schnabel, a prominent figure from the European Central Bank, warned that tariffs were central to Donald Trump’s strategy and cautioned that the likelihood of a trade war is high.

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